SS Monopoli 40%Draw 29%Crotone 31%Expected goals 1.25 – 0.85
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSS Monopoli to win ✗40% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28
SS Monopoli vs Crotone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 1 March: SS Monopoli v Crotone in the Serie C Girone C, played at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani. In the table, SS Monopoli are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Crotone are 20th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SS Monopoli 1.3 xG, Crotone 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SS Monopoli 40%, draw 29%, Crotone 31%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: SS Monopoli 1–0 Crotone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SS Monopoli40%fair 2.47 · @2.65
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.85
Crotone31%fair 3.26 · @2.65
2.10Expected goals
1.25SS Monopoli xG
0.85Crotone xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: SS Monopoli 1.3 – 0.9 Crotone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Monopoli to win✗
40%
2.47
2.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
SS Monopoli (draw no bet)
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Crotone +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
SS Monopoli to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Monopoli / FT SS Monopoli✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.28
–
Recent results
SS Monopoli – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Salernitana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Crotone – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Foggia
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Monopoli and Crotone.
What is the prediction for SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
On our numbers SS Monopoli have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Crotone 31%.
How many goals will there be in SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
Our predicted score is SS Monopoli 1–0 Crotone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is SS Monopoli vs Crotone?
SS Monopoli vs Crotone (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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