Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBenevento to win ✓40% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.72
Benevento vs Catania: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 March the Serie C Girone C brings Benevento against Catania at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT.
Current form
Catania, last 3: DWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Salernitana, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benevento 1.3 xG, Catania 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benevento 40%, draw 28%, Catania 32%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benevento 1–1 Catania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benevento40%fair 2.50 · @2.33
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.80
Catania32%fair 3.11 · @3.20
2.51Expected goals
1.34Benevento xG
1.17Catania xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.3 – 1.2 Catania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✓
40%
2.50
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Benevento (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Catania +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Benevento to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.72
–
Recent results
Benevento – last 2
WD
1 Mar
@ Potenza
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Team Altamura
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Catania – last 3
DWW
1 Mar
@ Salernitana
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Giugliano
1–0
W
18 Feb
vs Trapani 1905
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Catania.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Benevento vs Catania?
On our numbers Benevento have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Catania 32%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Catania?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Catania?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–1 Catania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Catania?
Benevento vs Catania (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Latina2
Siracusa1
Atalanta II1
Trapani 19052