Giugliano vs SS Monopoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Thursday 5 March: Giugliano v SS Monopoli in the Serie C Girone C, played at Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro. In the table, Giugliano are 13th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; SS Monopoli are 6th (upper half) with 20.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Giugliano 1.0 xG, SS Monopoli 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Giugliano 30%, draw 27%, SS Monopoli 43%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Giugliano 0–1 SS Monopoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Giugliano30%fair 3.29 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.70 · @3.20
SS Monopoli43%fair 2.35 · @2.45
2.27Expected goals
0.95Giugliano xG
1.32SS Monopoli xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Giugliano 1.0 – 1.3 SS Monopoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SS Monopoli to win✗
43%
2.35
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.80
Draw no bet
SS Monopoli (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Giugliano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
SS Monopoli to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Monopoli / FT SS Monopoli✗
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Giugliano – last 2
DL
1 Mar
vs Latina
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Catania
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
SS Monopoli – last 2
DW
1 Mar
vs Crotone
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Salernitana
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Giugliano and SS Monopoli.
What is the prediction for Giugliano vs SS Monopoli?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Giugliano vs SS Monopoli?
On our numbers Giugliano have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 27% and SS Monopoli 43%.
How many goals will there be in Giugliano vs SS Monopoli?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Giugliano vs SS Monopoli?
Our predicted score is Giugliano 0–1 SS Monopoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Giugliano vs SS Monopoli?
Giugliano vs SS Monopoli (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.