Value bet: Potenza to win @ 2.85 – our chance 48% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +37%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPotenza to win ✗48% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Potenza vs Cosenza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Potenza welcome Cosenza to Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Thursday 5 March (20:30 WAT). In the table, Potenza are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Cosenza are 19th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Potenza, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Benevento, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Potenza 1.9 xG, Cosenza 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Potenza 48%, draw 22%, Cosenza 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Potenza to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Potenza 1–1 Cosenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Potenza48%fair 2.08 · @2.85
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.20
Cosenza30%fair 3.38 · @2.33
3.02Expected goals
1.91Potenza xG
1.11Cosenza xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Potenza 1.9 – 1.1 Cosenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Potenza to win✗
48%
2.08
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Draw no bet
Potenza (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Cosenza +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Potenza to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Potenza ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Potenza / FT Potenza✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Potenza – last 3
LWW
1 Mar
vs Benevento
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Latina
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Team Altamura
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cosenza – last 2
WD
1 Mar
vs Sorrento
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Atalanta II
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Potenza and Cosenza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Potenza vs Cosenza?
On our numbers Potenza have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cosenza 30%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs Cosenza?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Potenza vs Cosenza?
Our predicted score is Potenza 1–1 Cosenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Potenza vs Cosenza?
Potenza vs Cosenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Latina2
Siracusa1
Atalanta II1
Trapani 19052
Benevento2