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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Crotone v Cavese: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Ezio Scida

Cavese

Crotone 49%Draw 25%Cavese 26% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.21

73%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultCrotone to win ✓49% · @1.62

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40

Crotone vs Cavese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 5 March the Serie C Girone C brings Crotone against Cavese at Stadio Ezio Scida. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Crotone are 20th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 13 matches; Cavese are 11th (lower half) with 16. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Crotone 1.4 xG, Cavese 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Crotone 49%, draw 25%, Cavese 26%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crotone 1–1 Cavese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Crotone49%fair 2.03 · @1.62

Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.60

Cavese26%fair 3.88 · @4.80

2.63Expected goals

1.42Crotone xG

1.21Cavese xG

55%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–010%

2–19%

0–19%

1–28%

2–07%

From our goals model: Crotone 1.4 – 1.2 Cavese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Crotone to win ✓	49%	2.03	1.62
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	55%	1.83	1.85
Draw no bet	Crotone (draw no bet) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Asian handicap	Cavese +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	51%	1.95	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	72%	1.38	1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
First team to score	Crotone to score first ✓	50%	2.00	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.34	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Crotone / FT Crotone ✓	24%	4.10	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.40	–

Recent results

Crotone – last 2

1 Mar	@ SS Monopoli	1–1	D
22 Feb	vs Foggia	3–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Cavese – last 1

21 Feb

@ Trapani 1905

0–2

0.0Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

0%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Crotone and Cavese.

Crotone vs Cavese head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone C table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Potenza	13	10	2	1	+17	32
2	Bari	13	6	5	2	+7	23
3	Catania	13	7	1	5	+13	22
4	Scafatese	13	5	6	2	+5	21
5	Audace Cerignola	13	6	2	5	+5	20
6	SS Monopoli	13	5	5	3	+4	20
7	Inter U23	13	6	2	5	+2	20
8	Casertana	13	5	5	3	+2	20
9	Sorrento	13	6	2	5	+1	20
10	AZ Picerno	13	6	1	6	+3	19
11	Cavese	13	4	4	5	+1	16
12	Team Altamura	13	4	4	5	-6	16
13	Giugliano	13	5	1	7	-12	16
14	Salernitana	13	3	6	4	-2	15
15	Barletta	13	3	6	4	-2	15
16	Foggia	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Casarano	13	4	3	6	-6	15
18	Savoia	13	2	6	5	-7	12
19	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	-13	10
20	Crotone	13	1	4	8	-9	1

More Serie C Girone C predictions

League hub

Latina2

Sorrento0 140%2.15X29%2.90231%3.10 1.1–0.9xG NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.70 ✓

Casarano1

Siracusa1 141%2.00X25%3.55234%3.10 1.4–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

AZ Picerno1

Atalanta II1 142%2.55X23%3.40235%2.40 1.7–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Giugliano2

SS Monopoli0 130%2.70X27%3.20243%2.45 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓

Audace Cerignola4

Trapani 19052 156%1.67X26%3.40218%5.00 1.6–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✗

Benevento2

Catania1 140%2.33X28%2.80232%3.20 1.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.50 ✓

Potenza1

Cosenza4 148%2.85X22%3.20230%2.33 1.9–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.33 ✓

Casertana1

Salernitana0 134%3.25X28%3.00238%2.15 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Crotone vs Cavese?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Crotone vs Cavese?

On our numbers Crotone have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cavese 26%.

How many goals will there be in Crotone vs Cavese?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Crotone vs Cavese?

Our predicted score is Crotone 1–1 Cavese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Crotone vs Cavese?

Crotone vs Cavese (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ezio Scida.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.