Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 2.5 goals72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.99
Leones Negros vs Acatlan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Leones Negros welcome Acatlan to Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 21 February (18:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones Negros 2.7 xG, Acatlan 1.0 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones Negros 72%, draw 18%, Acatlan 10%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Leones Negros to win (72%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones Negros 2–0 Acatlan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones Negros72%fair 1.38 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.60 · @5.50
Acatlan10%fair 10.16 · @7.50
3.61Expected goals
2.66Leones Negros xG
0.95Acatlan xG
52%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–07%
1–17%
From our goals model: Leones Negros 2.7 – 1.0 Acatlan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leones Negros to win
72%
1.38
1.27
Double chance
Leones Negros or draw
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Leones Negros (draw no bet)
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Leones Negros -1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
72%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
70%
1.42
–
First team to score
Leones Negros to score first
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Leones Negros ahead at half-time
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leones Negros / FT Leones Negros
50%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Leones Negros – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Durango
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Acatlan
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones Negros and Acatlan.
What is the prediction for Leones Negros vs Acatlan?
Our pick is Leones Negros to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Leones Negros vs Acatlan?
On our numbers Leones Negros have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Acatlan 10%.
How many goals will there be in Leones Negros vs Acatlan?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones Negros vs Acatlan?
Our predicted score is Leones Negros 2–0 Acatlan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Leones Negros vs Acatlan?
Leones Negros vs Acatlan (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Club Deportivo Universidad de Guadalajara.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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