Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultDurango to win ✓63% · @1.17
Double chanceDurango or draw ✓83% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Colima vs Durango: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Colima welcome Durango to Estadio Olímpico Universitario de Colima for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 21 February (23:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colima 1.1 xG, Durango 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colima 17%, draw 20%, Durango 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colima 1–2 Durango. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colima17%fair 5.91 · @13.00
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @6.25
Durango63%fair 1.58 · @1.17
2.94Expected goals
1.06Colima xG
1.89Durango xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Colima 1.1 – 1.9 Durango expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Durango to win✓
63%
1.58
1.17
Double chance
Durango or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Durango (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Colima +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Durango to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Durango ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Durango / FT Durango✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Colima – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Reboceros La Piedad
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Durango – last 1
W
17 Feb
vs Leones Negros
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colima and Durango.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Colima vs Durango?
On our numbers Colima have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Durango 63%.
How many goals will there be in Colima vs Durango?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colima vs Durango?
Our predicted score is Colima 1–2 Durango, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Colima vs Durango?
Colima vs Durango (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olímpico Universitario de Colima.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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