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Correcaminos UAT II v Gavilanes FC Matamoros: numbers & prediction

Liga Premier Serie A · Mexico · Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras

Gavilanes FC Matamoros

Correcaminos UAT II 34%Draw 24%Gavilanes FC Matamoros 41% Expected goals 0.99 – 1.12

81%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultGavilanes FC Matamoros to win ✗41% · @2.55

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.27

Correcaminos UAT II vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Correcaminos UAT II welcome Gavilanes FC Matamoros to Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras for a Liga Premier Serie A fixture on Saturday 21 February (17:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Correcaminos UAT II 1.0 xG, Gavilanes FC Matamoros 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Correcaminos UAT II 34%, draw 24%, Gavilanes FC Matamoros 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Correcaminos UAT II 0–1 Gavilanes FC Matamoros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Correcaminos UAT II34%fair 2.91 · @2.70

Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.95

Gavilanes FC Matamoros41%fair 2.42 · @2.55

2.11Expected goals

0.99Correcaminos UAT II xG

1.12Gavilanes FC Matamoros xG

56%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%

1–113%

0–012%

1–012%

0–28%

1–28%

From our goals model: Correcaminos UAT II 1.0 – 1.1 Gavilanes FC Matamoros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gavilanes FC Matamoros to win ✗	41%	2.42	2.55 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.80	1.85
Draw no bet	Gavilanes FC Matamoros (draw no bet) ✗	55%	1.83	–
Asian handicap	Correcaminos UAT II +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	61%	1.63	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	64%	1.56	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.63	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	81%	1.24	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.07	–
First team to score	Gavilanes FC Matamoros to score first ✗	47%	2.14	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	48%	2.06	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gavilanes FC Matamoros / FT Gavilanes FC Matamoros ✗	22%	4.60	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	13.27	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Correcaminos UAT II and Gavilanes FC Matamoros.

Correcaminos UAT II vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros head-to-head page →

Liga Premier Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Santiago	11	7	1	3	+20	24
2	Acatlan	11	7	1	3	+5	23
3	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	11	7	0	4	+18	22
4	Mineros de Fresnillo	11	6	3	2	+11	22
5	Correcaminos UAT II	11	6	2	3	+4	20
6	Vaqueros Reynosa	11	5	2	4	+1	18
7	Guerreros	10	4	2	4	0	15
8	Atlético Saltillo	10	4	0	6	-7	11
9	Real Apodaca	11	3	1	7	-7	9
10	Héroes de Zaci	10	0	1	9	-26	2
1	Dragones de Oaxaca	11	7	2	2	+16	25
2	Artesanos Metepec	11	7	3	1	+14	25
3	Acambaro	11	7	1	3	+17	23
4	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	11	5	3	3	+4	19
5	Halcones Negros	11	5	1	5	+4	17
6	Guerreros del Pacifico	11	4	1	6	+1	17
7	Calor de San Pedro	11	4	1	6	-7	16
8	Real Refineros	11	5	1	5	-5	15
9	Ciervos	11	2	0	9	-27	5
10	Cañoneros Marina	10	0	0	10	-36	0

More Liga Premier Serie A predictions

League hub

–

Cañoneros Marina2

Pioneros de Cancún2 Pens 4–4 117%3.30X19%3.20264%1.95 0.9–2.4xG X2Pioneros de Cancún or draw 83%@1.28 ✓

–

Leones Negros1

Acatlan0 172%1.27X18%5.50210%7.50 2.7–1.0xG 1Leones Negros to win 72%@1.27

–

Deportivo Zap

Chilpancingo 165%1.38X22%4.33213%6.50 2.1–0.9xG 1Deportivo Zap to win 65%@1.38

–

Deportiva Venados

Inter Playa del Carmen 158%1.80X22%3.50220%3.50 2.0–1.1xG 1XDeportiva Venados or draw 80%@1.22

–

Tritons Vallarta

Mineros de Fresnillo 148%1.68X28%3.40224%4.75 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28

Colima1

Durango4 117%13.00X20%6.25263%1.17 1.1–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 59%@1.50 ✓

–

Cordobés

FC Santiago 124%3.10X25%3.10251%2.25 0.8–1.6xG X2FC Santiago or draw 76%@1.35

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Correcaminos UAT II vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Correcaminos UAT II vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

On our numbers Correcaminos UAT II have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gavilanes FC Matamoros 41%.

How many goals will there be in Correcaminos UAT II vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Correcaminos UAT II vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

Our predicted score is Correcaminos UAT II 0–1 Gavilanes FC Matamoros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Correcaminos UAT II vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros?

Correcaminos UAT II vs Gavilanes FC Matamoros (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Universitario Prof. Eugenio Alvizo Porras.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Correcaminos UAT II v Gavilanes FC Matamoros: numbers & prediction