Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 6.92
Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 February the Premyer Liqa brings Mil-Muğan against Qarabag at Quba OIK stadionu. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Mil-Muğan are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Qarabag are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mil-Muğan 0.8 xG, Qarabag 1.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mil-Muğan 17%, draw 23%, Qarabag 60%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mil-Muğan 0–1 Qarabag. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mil-Muğan17%fair 5.91 · @9.75
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.40
Qarabag60%fair 1.67 · @1.30
2.39Expected goals
0.81Mil-Muğan xG
1.57Qarabag xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%
From our goals model: Mil-Muğan 0.8 – 1.6 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win✓
60%
1.67
1.30
Double chance
Qarabag or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.65
Draw no bet
Qarabag (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Mil-Muğan +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Qarabag to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
6.92
–
Recent results
Mil-Muğan
No recent results on record.
Qarabag
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mil-Muğan and Qarabag.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Mil-Muğan have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Qarabag 60%.
How many goals will there be in Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Mil-Muğan 0–1 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag?
Mil-Muğan vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Quba OIK stadionu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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