Mil-Muğan 33%Draw 28%Keshla FC 38%Expected goals 1.08 – 1.20
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKeshla FC to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.53
Mil-Muğan vs Keshla FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Keshla FC travel to face Mil-Muğan on Sunday 22 February in the Premyer Liqa, with Quba OIK stadionu the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Mil-Muğan are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Keshla FC are 7th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mil-Muğan 1.1 xG, Keshla FC 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mil-Muğan 33%, draw 28%, Keshla FC 38%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mil-Muğan 1–1 Keshla FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mil-Muğan33%fair 3.00 · @2.70
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @2.80
Keshla FC38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
2.28Expected goals
1.08Mil-Muğan xG
1.20Keshla FC xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Mil-Muğan 1.1 – 1.2 Keshla FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Keshla FC to win✗
38%
2.61
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Keshla FC (draw no bet)
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Mil-Muğan +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Keshla FC to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Keshla FC / FT Keshla FC✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.53
–
Recent results
Mil-Muğan – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Qarabag
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Keshla FC – last 1
D
16 Feb
vs Turan
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mil-Muğan and Keshla FC.
What is the prediction for Mil-Muğan vs Keshla FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Mil-Muğan vs Keshla FC?
On our numbers Mil-Muğan have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Keshla FC 38%.
How many goals will there be in Mil-Muğan vs Keshla FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mil-Muğan vs Keshla FC?
Our predicted score is Mil-Muğan 1–1 Keshla FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Mil-Muğan vs Keshla FC?
Mil-Muğan vs Keshla FC (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Quba OIK stadionu.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
