Value bet: Karvan to win @ 4.33 – our chance 29% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAraz to win ✓48% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.65
Karvan vs Araz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Karvan welcome Araz to Yevlakh City Stadium for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Saturday 21 February (11:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Karvan 1.5 xG, Araz 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Karvan 29%, draw 23%, Araz 48%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Karvan to win @4.33 – the bookmaker implies 23%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karvan 1–1 Araz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Karvan29%fair 3.43 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.30
Araz48%fair 2.09 · @1.70
3.05Expected goals
1.49Karvan xG
1.56Araz xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Karvan 1.5 – 1.6 Araz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Araz to win✓
48%
2.09
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Araz (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Karvan +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Araz to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Araz / FT Araz✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Karvan
No recent results on record.
Araz – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Sumqayıt
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karvan and Araz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Karvan vs Araz?
On our numbers Karvan have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Araz 48%.
How many goals will there be in Karvan vs Araz?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karvan vs Araz?
Our predicted score is Karvan 1–1 Araz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Karvan vs Araz?
Karvan vs Araz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
