Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultZira to win ✗52% · @1.85
Double chanceZira or draw ✓77% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Zira vs Şamaxı FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:15 WAT, Tuesday 7 April: Zira v Şamaxı FK in the Premyer Liqa, played at Zira Stadium. In the table, Zira are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Şamaxı FK are 7th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Zira, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Turan, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Şamaxı FK, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Araz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Zira, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Şamaxı FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.5 xG, Şamaxı FK 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 52%, draw 25%, Şamaxı FK 23%.
Lower-risk option: Zira or draw (77%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–1 Şamaxı FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zira52%fair 1.93 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.20
Şamaxı FK23%fair 4.39 · @4.20
2.52Expected goals
1.50Zira xG
1.02Şamaxı FK xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Zira 1.5 – 1.0 Şamaxı FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zira to win✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Double chance
Zira or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Zira (draw no bet)
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Şamaxı FK +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Zira to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zira / FT Zira✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Zira – last 6
WWDWWL
3 Apr
@ Turan
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Karvan
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Kapaz
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Sumqayıt
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Araz
1–0
W
20 Feb
@ Turan
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Şamaxı FK – last 6
LWDLDD
18 Mar
vs Araz
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Sumqayıt
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Qarabag
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Neftchi Baku
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Şamaxı FK.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
On our numbers Zira have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Şamaxı FK 23%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–1 Şamaxı FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Şamaxı FK?
Zira vs Şamaxı FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
