Value bet: Sumqayıt to win @ 2.35 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSumqayıt to win ✓48% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Sumqayıt vs Qabala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sumqayıt welcome Qabala to Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Sunday 19 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Sumqayıt are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Qabala are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sumqayıt, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Neftchi Baku, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Qabala, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Imisli FK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Qabala, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Sumqayıt.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Feb 2026) it ended Sumqayıt 0–0 Qabala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sumqayıt 1.7 xG, Qabala 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sumqayıt 48%, draw 25%, Qabala 27%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sumqayıt to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sumqayıt 1–1 Qabala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sumqayıt48%fair 2.09 · @2.35
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.00
Qabala27%fair 3.70 · @2.90
2.66Expected goals
1.66Sumqayıt xG
1.00Qabala xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sumqayıt 1.7 – 1.0 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
On our numbers Sumqayıt have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Qabala 27%.
How many goals will there be in Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Our predicted score is Sumqayıt 1–1 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sumqayıt vs Qabala?
Sumqayıt vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
