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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sabah FA v Karvan: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Bank Respublika Arena
2–0
FT

Karvan

WLLLD
Sabah FA 74%Draw 15%Karvan 11% Expected goals 2.46 – 0.89
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 54% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSabah FA to win ✓74% · @1.11
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Sabah FA vs Karvan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Karvan travel to face Sabah FA on Monday 27 April in the Premyer Liqa, with Bank Respublika Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Sabah FA, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Qarabag, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.8 goals per game.

Karvan, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Kapaz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sabah FA, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.7 for Karvan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sabah FA 2.5 xG, Karvan 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sabah FA 74%, draw 15%, Karvan 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sabah FA 2–1 Karvan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sabah FA74%fair 1.35 · @1.11
Draw15%fair 6.47 · @6.60
Karvan11%fair 9.45 · @19.00
3.36Expected goals
2.46Sabah FA xG
0.89Karvan xG
54%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–09%
3–18%
1–18%

From our goals model: Sabah FA 2.5 – 0.9 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSabah FA to win ✓74%1.351.11
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓89%1.12–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.20 ▲
Draw no betSabah FA (draw no bet) ✓87%1.14–
Asian handicapSabah FA -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67%1.491.35
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.871.85
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓72%1.391.36
First team to scoreSabah FA to score first ✓71%1.41–
Half-time resultSabah FA ahead at half-time ✗53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA ✗48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Sabah FA – last 6

WWDWWW
22 Aprvs Qarabag2–1W
7 Apr@ Araz4–2W
3 Apr@ Qarabag2–2D
19 Marvs Sumqayıt3–1W
14 Mar@ Mil-Muğan5–0W
10 Marvs Qabala7–1W
3.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Karvan – last 6

WLLLDL
10 Aprvs Kapaz4–1W
6 Apr@ Qarabag0–8L
19 Marvs Zira0–1L
13 Mar@ Araz1–2L
7 Marvs Sumqayıt1–1D
21 Febvs Araz0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sabah FA and Karvan.

Sabah FA vs Karvan head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

More Premyer Liqa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sabah FA vs Karvan?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Sabah FA vs Karvan?

On our numbers Sabah FA have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Karvan 11%.

How many goals will there be in Sabah FA vs Karvan?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sabah FA vs Karvan?

Our predicted score is Sabah FA 2–1 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Sabah FA vs Karvan?

Sabah FA vs Karvan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bank Respublika Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.