Şamaxı FK vs Kapaz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Şamaxı FK welcome Kapaz to Shamakhi City Stadium for a Premyer Liqa fixture on Sunday 26 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Şamaxı FK are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Kapaz are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Şamaxı FK, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zira, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Kapaz, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Imisli FK, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şamaxı FK 1.4 xG, Kapaz 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şamaxı FK 45%, draw 27%, Kapaz 27%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şamaxı FK 1–1 Kapaz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şamaxı FK45%fair 2.20 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
Kapaz27%fair 3.65 · @3.55
2.40Expected goals
1.39Şamaxı FK xG
1.00Kapaz xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–19%
0–09%
2–19%
2–09%
From our goals model: Şamaxı FK 1.4 – 1.0 Kapaz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Şamaxı FK to win✓
45%
2.20
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Şamaxı FK (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Kapaz +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Şamaxı FK to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Şamaxı FK / FT Şamaxı FK✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Recent results
Şamaxı FK – last 6
DLWDLD
7 Apr
@ Zira
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Araz
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Sumqayıt
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Mil-Muğan
0–0
D
4 Mar
@ Qarabag
1–3
L
28 Feb
vs Neftchi Baku
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kapaz – last 6
LLLWDD
19 Apr
vs Imisli FK
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Karvan
1–4
L
5 Apr
vs Qabala
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs Qarabag
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Turan
1–1
D
9 Mar
@ Zira
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şamaxı FK and Kapaz.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Şamaxı FK vs Kapaz?
On our numbers Şamaxı FK have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kapaz 27%.
How many goals will there be in Şamaxı FK vs Kapaz?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şamaxı FK vs Kapaz?
Our predicted score is Şamaxı FK 1–1 Kapaz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Şamaxı FK vs Kapaz?
Şamaxı FK vs Kapaz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
