Orvietana Calcio 41%Draw 28%Montevarchi Calcio 31%Expected goals 1.25 – 0.97
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultOrvietana Calcio to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.40
Orvietana Calcio vs Montevarchi Calcio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Orvietana Calcio welcome Montevarchi Calcio to Stadio Luigi Muzi for a Serie D Girone E fixture on Sunday 15 February (14:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orvietana Calcio 1.2 xG, Montevarchi Calcio 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orvietana Calcio 41%, draw 28%, Montevarchi Calcio 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orvietana Calcio 1–0 Montevarchi Calcio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orvietana Calcio41%fair 2.43 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.00
Montevarchi Calcio31%fair 3.25 · @2.88
2.22Expected goals
1.25Orvietana Calcio xG
0.97Montevarchi Calcio xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Orvietana Calcio 1.2 – 1.0 Montevarchi Calcio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Orvietana Calcio
Montevarchi Calcio
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
-7%
-1%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.21
0.87
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orvietana Calcio to win✗
41%
2.43
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Orvietana Calcio (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Montevarchi Calcio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Orvietana Calcio to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orvietana Calcio / FT Orvietana Calcio✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.40
–
Recent results
Orvietana Calcio
No recent results on record.
Montevarchi Calcio
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orvietana Calcio and Montevarchi Calcio.
What is the prediction for Orvietana Calcio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Orvietana Calcio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
On our numbers Orvietana Calcio have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Montevarchi Calcio 31%.
How many goals will there be in Orvietana Calcio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orvietana Calcio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Our predicted score is Orvietana Calcio 1–0 Montevarchi Calcio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Orvietana Calcio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Orvietana Calcio vs Montevarchi Calcio (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Muzi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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