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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gavorrano v San Donato Tavarnelle: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone E · Italy · Stadio Romeo Malservisi
Gavorrano 45%Draw 27%San Donato Tavarnelle 27% Expected goals 1.37 – 0.86
73%
Betarazi pick

Gavorrano or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultGavorrano to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceGavorrano or draw ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.80

Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Gavorrano v San Donato Tavarnelle in the Serie D Girone E, played at Stadio Romeo Malservisi. In the table, Gavorrano are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; San Donato Tavarnelle are 12th (lower half) with 14.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gavorrano 1.4 xG, San Donato Tavarnelle 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gavorrano 45%, draw 27%, San Donato Tavarnelle 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Gavorrano or draw (73%) at 1.25.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gavorrano or draw (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gavorrano 1–0 San Donato Tavarnelle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gavorrano45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.00
San Donato Tavarnelle27%fair 3.66 · @3.00
2.23Expected goals
1.37Gavorrano xG
0.86San Donato Tavarnelle xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Gavorrano 1.4 – 0.9 San Donato Tavarnelle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

GavorranoSan Donato Tavarnelle
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average+6%-17%
Goals conceded vs average-19%-15%
Our expected goals here1.390.71

Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGavorrano to win ✗45%2.212.20
Double chanceGavorrano or draw ✓73%1.381.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.79–
Draw no betGavorrano (draw no bet)62%1.60–
Asian handicapSan Donato Tavarnelle +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreGavorrano to score first55%1.83–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gavorrano / FT Gavorrano ✗29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.80–

Recent results

Gavorrano

No recent results on record.

San Donato Tavarnelle

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gavorrano and San Donato Tavarnelle.

Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone E table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Prato11740+1325
2Robur Siena11713+1422
3Ternana11632+1221
4Gavorrano11560+721
5Flaminia11542+219
6Lucchese11533+318
7Terranuova Traiana11452+417
8Tau Altopascio11524-417
9Montevarchi Calcio11515+216
10Seravezza11434+515
11Scandicci11434+315
12San Donato Tavarnelle11425-214
13Sasso Marconi Zola11326-211
14Mezzolara11182-611
15Rondinella11245-810
16Grassina11146-117
17Progresso11209-166
18Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano11038-163

More Serie D Girone E predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Our pick is Gavorrano or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

On our numbers Gavorrano have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and San Donato Tavarnelle 27%.

How many goals will there be in Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Our predicted score is Gavorrano 1–0 San Donato Tavarnelle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle?

Gavorrano vs San Donato Tavarnelle (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.