Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultPrato to win ✗54% · @1.68
Double chancePrato or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Sansepolcro vs Prato: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Prato travel to face Sansepolcro on Sunday 15 February in the Serie D Girone E, with Stadio Buitoni the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sansepolcro 0.8 xG, Prato 1.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sansepolcro 18%, draw 27%, Prato 54%.
Lower-risk option: Prato or draw (82%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sansepolcro 0–1 Prato. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sansepolcro18%fair 5.42 · @4.50
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.30
Prato54%fair 1.84 · @1.68
2.26Expected goals
0.80Sansepolcro xG
1.46Prato xG
43%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–112%
0–211%
0–010%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Sansepolcro 0.8 – 1.5 Prato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sansepolcro
Prato
Attack vs Serie D Girone E average
-17%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-34%
Our expected goals here
0.84
1.38
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone E result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Prato to win✗
54%
1.84
1.68
Double chance
Prato or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Prato (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Sansepolcro +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Prato to score first✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Prato / FT Prato✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.57
–
Recent results
Sansepolcro
No recent results on record.
Prato
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sansepolcro and Prato.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sansepolcro vs Prato?
On our numbers Sansepolcro have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Prato 54%.
How many goals will there be in Sansepolcro vs Prato?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sansepolcro vs Prato?
Our predicted score is Sansepolcro 0–1 Prato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sansepolcro vs Prato?
Sansepolcro vs Prato (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Buitoni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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