Value bet: Vibonese to win @ 2.94 – our chance 44% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVibonese to win ✗44% · @2.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.05
Ragusa vs Vibonese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 15 March: Ragusa v Vibonese in the Serie D Girone I, played at Stadio Aldo Campo. In the table, Ragusa are 17th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 11 matches; Vibonese are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Ragusa, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Milazzo, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Vibonese, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Savoia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ragusa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Vibonese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ragusa 1.0 xG, Vibonese 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ragusa 31%, draw 25%, Vibonese 44%.
Price worth noting: Vibonese to win @2.94 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (75%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ragusa 0–1 Vibonese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ragusa31%fair 3.19 · @2.37
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.05
Vibonese44%fair 2.30 · @2.94
2.51Expected goals
0.98Ragusa xG
1.52Vibonese xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
1–112%
0–29%
1–29%
0–08%
1–08%
From our goals model: Ragusa 1.0 – 1.5 Vibonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vibonese to win✗
44%
2.30
2.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Draw no bet
Vibonese (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Ragusa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Vibonese to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vibonese / FT Vibonese✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.05
–
Recent results
Ragusa – last 3
WWL
1 Mar
@ Milazzo
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs CastrumFavara
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Gelbison
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vibonese – last 3
LLL
1 Mar
vs Savoia
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Gelbison
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Milazzo
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ragusa and Vibonese.
On our numbers Ragusa have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vibonese 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ragusa vs Vibonese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ragusa vs Vibonese?
Our predicted score is Ragusa 0–1 Vibonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ragusa vs Vibonese?
Ragusa vs Vibonese (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Aldo Campo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paternò2
Messina0
Sancataldese0
Savoia1
Gelbison1