Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.16
Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vigor Lamezia welcome CastrumFavara to Stadio Guido D'Ippolito for a Serie D Girone I fixture on Sunday 15 March (14:30 WAT). In the table, Vigor Lamezia are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; CastrumFavara are 15th (lower half) with 8. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
CastrumFavara, last 3: DLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Messina, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vigor Lamezia 1.4 xG, CastrumFavara 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vigor Lamezia 45%, draw 26%, CastrumFavara 30%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vigor Lamezia 1–1 CastrumFavara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vigor Lamezia45%fair 2.24 · @2.00
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.10
CastrumFavara30%fair 3.38 · @3.40
2.54Expected goals
1.39Vigor Lamezia xG
1.15CastrumFavara xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Vigor Lamezia 1.4 – 1.2 CastrumFavara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vigor Lamezia to win✗
45%
2.24
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Vigor Lamezia (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
CastrumFavara +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Vigor Lamezia to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vigor Lamezia / FT Vigor Lamezia✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.16
–
Recent results
Vigor Lamezia – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Reggina
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nissa
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CastrumFavara – last 3
DLL
1 Mar
vs Messina
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Ragusa
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Savoia
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigor Lamezia and CastrumFavara.
What is the prediction for Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
On our numbers Vigor Lamezia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CastrumFavara 30%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
Our predicted score is Vigor Lamezia 1–1 CastrumFavara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara?
Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paternò2
Messina0
Sancataldese0
Savoia1
Gelbison1