Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultNissa to win ✓39% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓13% · fair 7.73
Messina vs Nissa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Serie D Girone I brings Messina against Nissa at Stadio San Filippo. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Messina, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CastrumFavara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Messina 1.0 xG, Nissa 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Messina 33%, draw 27%, Nissa 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Messina 1–1 Nissa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Messina33%fair 3.02 · @2.55
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.00
Nissa39%fair 2.54 · @2.55
2.20Expected goals
1.03Messina xG
1.17Nissa xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Messina 1.0 – 1.2 Nissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nissa to win✓
39%
2.54
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
–
Draw no bet
Nissa (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Messina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Nissa to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nissa / FT Nissa✓
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
13%
7.73
–
Recent results
Messina – last 3
DLD
1 Mar
@ CastrumFavara
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Sambiase
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Reggina
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nissa – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ Savoia
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Vigor Lamezia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Messina and Nissa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Messina vs Nissa?
On our numbers Messina have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Nissa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Messina vs Nissa?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Messina vs Nissa?
Our predicted score is Messina 1–1 Nissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Messina vs Nissa?
Messina vs Nissa (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Filippo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paternò2
Sancataldese0
Savoia1
Gelbison1