AC Palermo 63%Draw 21%Paternò 16%Expected goals 1.90 – 1.02
63%
Betarazi pick
AC Palermo to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.27Odds
Picks by market
ResultAC Palermo to win ✓63% · @1.27
Double chanceAC Palermo or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
AC Palermo vs Paternò: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 March the Serie D Girone I brings AC Palermo against Paternò at Centro Universitario Sportivo. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AC Palermo 1.9 xG, Paternò 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 51% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AC Palermo 63%, draw 21%, Paternò 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AC Palermo to win (63%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Palermo 1–0 Paternò. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AC Palermo63%fair 1.60 · @1.27
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @5.00
Paternò16%fair 6.20 · @7.50
2.92Expected goals
1.90AC Palermo xG
1.02Paternò xG
51%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: AC Palermo 1.9 – 1.0 Paternò expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Palermo to win✓
63%
1.60
1.27
Double chance
AC Palermo or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
AC Palermo (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Paternò +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
AC Palermo to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
AC Palermo ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Palermo / FT AC Palermo✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
AC Palermo – last 2
WD
5 Mar
@ Enna
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Gela
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paternò – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Sancataldese
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Palermo and Paternò.
Our pick is AC Palermo to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win AC Palermo vs Paternò?
On our numbers AC Palermo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paternò 16%.
How many goals will there be in AC Palermo vs Paternò?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Palermo vs Paternò?
Our predicted score is AC Palermo 1–0 Paternò, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is AC Palermo vs Paternò?
AC Palermo vs Paternò (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Centro Universitario Sportivo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Messina0
Sancataldese0
Savoia1
Gelbison1