Value bet: Reggina to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReggina to win ✓42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.63
AC Palermo vs Reggina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Reggina travel to face AC Palermo on Sunday 29 March in the Serie D Girone I, with Centro Universitario Sportivo the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, AC Palermo are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Reggina are 1st (leading the league) with 26. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AC Palermo, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nissa, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Reggina, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Igea Virtus, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AC Palermo 1.1 xG, Reggina 1.5 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AC Palermo 34%, draw 24%, Reggina 42%.
Price worth noting: Reggina to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: AC Palermo 1–1 Reggina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AC Palermo34%fair 2.95 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.40
Reggina42%fair 2.39 · @2.62
2.53Expected goals
1.08AC Palermo xG
1.45Reggina xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: AC Palermo 1.1 – 1.5 Reggina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Reggina to win✓
42%
2.39
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
–
Draw no bet
Reggina (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
AC Palermo +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Reggina to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Reggina / FT Reggina✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
12%
8.63
–
Recent results
AC Palermo – last 4
LWWD
22 Mar
@ Nissa
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Paternò
4–2
W
5 Mar
@ Enna
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Gela
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Reggina – last 3
WLD
25 Mar
@ Igea Virtus
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Vigor Lamezia
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Messina
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Palermo and Reggina.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win AC Palermo vs Reggina?
On our numbers AC Palermo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Reggina 42%.
How many goals will there be in AC Palermo vs Reggina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Palermo vs Reggina?
Our predicted score is AC Palermo 1–1 Reggina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AC Palermo vs Reggina?
AC Palermo vs Reggina (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Centro Universitario Sportivo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Messina1
Gelbison2
Acireale1
Savoia2
Sancataldese1