Value bet: Vibonese to win @ 4.00 – our chance 35% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVigor Lamezia to win ✗42% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Vigor Lamezia vs Vibonese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Serie D Girone I brings Vigor Lamezia against Vibonese at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Vigor Lamezia are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Vibonese are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vigor Lamezia, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ragusa, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Vibonese, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Messina, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vigor Lamezia, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.4 for Vibonese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vigor Lamezia 1.2 xG, Vibonese 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vigor Lamezia 42%, draw 23%, Vibonese 35%.
Price worth noting: Vibonese to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vigor Lamezia 1–1 Vibonese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vigor Lamezia42%fair 2.36 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.50
Vibonese35%fair 2.90 · @4.00
2.66Expected goals
1.22Vigor Lamezia xG
1.44Vibonese xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Vigor Lamezia 1.2 – 1.4 Vibonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vigor Lamezia to win✗
42%
2.36
1.73
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Vigor Lamezia (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Vigor Lamezia +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Vibonese to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vibonese / FT Vibonese✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.70
–
Recent results
Vigor Lamezia – last 4
DLWL
22 Mar
@ Ragusa
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs CastrumFavara
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Reggina
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Nissa
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vibonese – last 5
DDLLL
22 Mar
vs Messina
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Ragusa
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Savoia
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Gelbison
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Milazzo
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vigor Lamezia and Vibonese.
What is the prediction for Vigor Lamezia vs Vibonese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Vigor Lamezia vs Vibonese?
On our numbers Vigor Lamezia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vibonese 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vigor Lamezia vs Vibonese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vigor Lamezia vs Vibonese?
Our predicted score is Vigor Lamezia 1–1 Vibonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Vigor Lamezia vs Vibonese?
Vigor Lamezia vs Vibonese (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Guido D'Ippolito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Messina1
Gelbison2
Acireale1
Savoia2
Sancataldese1