Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultIgea Virtus to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceIgea Virtus or draw ✓83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Serie D Girone I brings Igea Virtus against CastrumFavara at Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Igea Virtus are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; CastrumFavara are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Igea Virtus, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Reggina, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
CastrumFavara, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sancataldese, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CastrumFavara, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.7 for Igea Virtus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Igea Virtus 1.9 xG, CastrumFavara 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 51% and GG at 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Igea Virtus 60%, draw 23%, CastrumFavara 17%.
Lower-risk option: Igea Virtus or draw (83%) at 1.16.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Igea Virtus to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Igea Virtus 2–1 CastrumFavara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Igea Virtus60%fair 1.66 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.50
CastrumFavara17%fair 5.83 · @4.85
2.98Expected goals
1.94Igea Virtus xG
1.04CastrumFavara xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Igea Virtus 1.9 – 1.0 CastrumFavara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Igea Virtus to win✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Double chance
Igea Virtus or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Igea Virtus (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
CastrumFavara +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.98
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Igea Virtus to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Igea Virtus ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Igea Virtus / FT Igea Virtus✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Recent results
Igea Virtus – last 3
LDD
25 Mar
vs Reggina
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Gelbison
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Sambiase
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
CastrumFavara – last 5
WWDLL
22 Mar
vs Sancataldese
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Vigor Lamezia
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Messina
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Ragusa
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Savoia
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Igea Virtus and CastrumFavara.
What is the prediction for Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
Our pick is Igea Virtus to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
On our numbers Igea Virtus have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and CastrumFavara 17%.
How many goals will there be in Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
Our predicted score is Igea Virtus 2–1 CastrumFavara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara?
Igea Virtus vs CastrumFavara (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Messina1
Gelbison2
Acireale1
Savoia2
Sancataldese1