Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarco to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chanceBarco or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.51
Barco vs Noia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Barco v Noia in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1, played at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros.
Current form
Barco, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Silva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Noia, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atlético Arteixo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours Barco, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.0 for Noia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barco 1.6 xG, Noia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barco 60%, draw 25%, Noia 15%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barco to win (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barco 1–0 Noia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barco60%fair 1.65 · @1.57
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
Noia15%fair 6.86 · @5.50
2.37Expected goals
1.65Barco xG
0.73Noia xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Barco 1.6 – 0.7 Noia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barco to win✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Double chance
Barco or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Barco (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Noia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Barco to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barco / FT Barco✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.51
–
Recent results
Barco – last 5
DWWWL
2 Apr
vs Silva
3–3
D
22 Mar
vs Barbadás
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Alondras
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Polvorín
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Celta de Vigo III
2–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Noia – last 4
LLLL
2 Apr
@ Atlético Arteixo
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Somozas
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Coruña
0–3
L
8 Mar
vs Arosa
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barco and Noia.
Our pick is Barco to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Barco vs Noia?
On our numbers Barco have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Noia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Barco vs Noia?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barco vs Noia?
Our predicted score is Barco 1–0 Noia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barco vs Noia?
Barco vs Noia (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Calabagueiros.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Compostela0
CD Lugo B1
Arosa1