Silva 39%Draw 27%CD Lugo B 34%Expected goals 1.27 – 1.09
59%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Silva to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSilva to win ✗39% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.30
Silva vs CD Lugo B: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Sunday 5 April: Silva v CD Lugo B in the Tercera División RFEF Group 1, played at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Rodrigo García Vizoso.
Current form
Silva, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Barco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
CD Lugo B, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Estradense, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Silva 1.3 xG, CD Lugo B 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Silva 39%, draw 27%, CD Lugo B 34%.
Price worth noting: Silva to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Silva 1–1 CD Lugo B. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Silva39%fair 2.60 · @2.85
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.95
CD Lugo B34%fair 2.93 · @2.33
2.35Expected goals
1.27Silva xG
1.09CD Lugo B xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Silva 1.3 – 1.1 CD Lugo B expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Silva to win✗
39%
2.60
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Silva (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
CD Lugo B +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Silva to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Silva / FT Silva✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.30
–
Recent results
Silva – last 6
DDWDDW
2 Apr
@ Barco
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Viveiro
0–0
D
19 Mar
vs Celtiga
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Cambados
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Boiro
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Compostela
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
CD Lugo B – last 6
LWDLWD
2 Apr
@ Estradense
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Cambados
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Boiro
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Barco
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Compostela
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Somozas
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Silva and CD Lugo B.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Silva vs CD Lugo B?
On our numbers Silva have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and CD Lugo B 34%.
How many goals will there be in Silva vs CD Lugo B?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Silva vs CD Lugo B?
Our predicted score is Silva 1–1 CD Lugo B, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Silva vs CD Lugo B?
Silva vs CD Lugo B (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal de Fútbol Rodrigo García Vizoso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.