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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Celtiga v Alondras: numbers & prediction

Tercera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio Salvador Otero

Celtiga

DLWWL
0–1
FT
Celtiga 44%Draw 27%Alondras 29% Expected goals 1.33 – 1.07
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultCeltiga to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.29

Celtiga vs Alondras: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 5 April the Tercera División RFEF Group 1 brings Celtiga against Alondras at Estadio Salvador Otero. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Celtiga are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Alondras are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Celtiga, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Boiro, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Alondras, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Somozas, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Celtiga, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.8 for Alondras.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celtiga 1.3 xG, Alondras 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Celtiga 44%, draw 27%, Alondras 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celtiga 1–1 Alondras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celtiga44%fair 2.26 · @2.00
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.25
Alondras29%fair 3.45 · @3.25
2.40Expected goals
1.33Celtiga xG
1.07Alondras xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Celtiga 1.3 – 1.1 Alondras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCeltiga to win ✗44%2.262.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.95–
Draw no betCeltiga (draw no bet) ✗60%1.66–
Asian handicapAlondras +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCeltiga to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Celtiga / FT Celtiga ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.29–

Recent results

Celtiga – last 5

DLWWL
2 Apr@ Boiro1–1D
19 Mar@ Silva0–1L
8 Marvs Cambados2–0W
18 Febvs Estradense2–1W
15 Feb@ Compostela1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Alondras – last 6

LDLLDW
2 Apr@ Somozas1–2L
29 Marvs Cambados3–3D
22 Mar@ Boiro0–1L
19 Marvs Barco0–1L
8 Marvs Estradense2–2D
22 Febvs Coruña3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Celtiga and Alondras.

Celtiga vs Alondras head-to-head page →

Tercera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boiro10721+1023
2Sarriana10532+518
3Silva10523+117
4Barco10442+516
5Atlético Arteixo10442+316
6Portonovo SD10433+315
7Estradense10433015
8Lalin10433-115
9Villalbés10352+114
10Pontevedra II10415+213
11Antela10343-113
12Alondras10334-112
13Somozas10253-111
14Celtiga10253-211
15Arenteiro10316-410
16Coruña10307-99
17Celta de Vigo III10226-58
18Viveiro10226-68

More Tercera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celtiga vs Alondras?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Celtiga vs Alondras?

On our numbers Celtiga have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alondras 29%.

How many goals will there be in Celtiga vs Alondras?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celtiga vs Alondras?

Our predicted score is Celtiga 1–1 Alondras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Celtiga vs Alondras?

Celtiga vs Alondras (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Salvador Otero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.