Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Estradense vs Arosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estradense welcome Arosa to Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada for a Tercera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 5 April (18:00 WAT).
Current form
Estradense, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CD Lugo B, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Arosa, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Villalbés, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Arosa, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Estradense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estradense 1.4 xG, Arosa 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 50% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estradense 36%, draw 24%, Arosa 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estradense 1–1 Arosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estradense36%fair 2.78 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
Arosa40%fair 2.51 · @2.55
2.95Expected goals
1.43Estradense xG
1.53Arosa xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Estradense 1.4 – 1.5 Arosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arosa to win✗
40%
2.51
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Arosa (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Estradense +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
Arosa to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arosa / FT Arosa✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Estradense – last 6
WWWDLL
2 Apr
vs CD Lugo B
1–0
W
19 Mar
@ Villalbés
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Barbadás
3–2
W
8 Mar
@ Alondras
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Celta de Vigo III
1–2
L
18 Feb
@ Celtiga
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arosa – last 6
DWWWDW
2 Apr
vs Villalbés
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Somozas
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Coruña
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Viveiro
4–1
W
15 Mar
vs Atlético Arteixo
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Noia
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estradense and Arosa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Estradense vs Arosa?
On our numbers Estradense have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arosa 40%.
How many goals will there be in Estradense vs Arosa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estradense vs Arosa?
Our predicted score is Estradense 1–1 Arosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Estradense vs Arosa?
Estradense vs Arosa (Tercera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Municipal do Concello da Estrada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Compostela0
CD Lugo B1
Noia0