Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultHomeboyz to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.76
Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Thursday 26 February: Ulinzi Stars v Homeboyz in the FKF Premier League, played at Ulinzi Sports Complex. In the table, Ulinzi Stars are 14th, lower half, on 6 points after 6 matches; Homeboyz are 17th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ulinzi Stars 1.0 xG, Homeboyz 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ulinzi Stars 32%, draw 29%, Homeboyz 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulinzi Stars 1–1 Homeboyz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ulinzi Stars32%fair 3.17 · @3.20
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @2.90
Homeboyz39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
2.10Expected goals
1.05Ulinzi Stars xG
1.05Homeboyz xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 1.0 – 1.1 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ulinzi Stars
Homeboyz
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-11%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.09
0.89
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Homeboyz to win✗
39%
2.55
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.41
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Homeboyz (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Ulinzi Stars +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Homeboyz to score first✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.76
–
Recent results
Ulinzi Stars – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Police
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Homeboyz – last 2
WW
20 Feb
vs Sofapaka
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Bidco United
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and Homeboyz.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Homeboyz 39%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 1–1 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz?
Ulinzi Stars vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sofapaka0
Police2
Kariobangi Sharks1
Bidco United2