Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Kariobangi Sharks travel to face APS Bomet on Thursday 26 February in the FKF Premier League, with Gusii Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give APS Bomet 1.1 xG, Kariobangi Sharks 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – APS Bomet 42%, draw 30%, Kariobangi Sharks 28%.
Lower-risk option: APS Bomet or draw (72%) at 1.30.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was APS Bomet or draw (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: APS Bomet 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
APS Bomet42%fair 2.39 · @2.40
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @2.90
Kariobangi Sharks28%fair 3.56 · @2.80
1.83Expected goals
1.10APS Bomet xG
0.73Kariobangi Sharks xG
42%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: APS Bomet 1.1 – 0.7 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
APS Bomet
Kariobangi Sharks
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-10%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-41%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.06
0.59
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APS Bomet to win✗
42%
2.39
2.40
Double chance
APS Bomet or draw✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
–
Draw no bet
APS Bomet (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Kariobangi Sharks +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
APS Bomet to score first✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT APS Bomet / FT APS Bomet✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Recent results
APS Bomet – last 2
DL
22 Feb
@ Police
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GOR Mahia
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kariobangi Sharks – last 2
DD
21 Feb
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ KCB
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and Kariobangi Sharks.
What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our pick is APS Bomet or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Kariobangi Sharks 28%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our predicted score is APS Bomet 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks?
APS Bomet vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sofapaka0
Police2
Bidco United2