Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.28
Bidco United vs Mara Sugar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mara Sugar travel to face Bidco United on Thursday 26 February in the FKF Premier League, with Kenyatta Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bidco United 0.8 xG, Mara Sugar 1.0 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bidco United 30%, draw 30%, Mara Sugar 40%.
Lower-risk option: Mara Sugar or draw (70%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mara Sugar or draw (70%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bidco United 0–1 Mara Sugar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bidco United30%fair 3.36 · @2.90
Draw30%fair 3.33 · @2.80
Mara Sugar40%fair 2.49 · @2.40
1.86Expected goals
0.84Bidco United xG
1.02Mara Sugar xG
41%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–016%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Bidco United 0.8 – 1.0 Mara Sugar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bidco United
Mara Sugar
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-24%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
-5%
Our expected goals here
0.85
1.03
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mara Sugar to win✗
40%
2.49
2.40
Double chance
Mara Sugar or draw✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Mara Sugar (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Bidco United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Mara Sugar to score first
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.28
–
Recent results
Bidco United – last 2
LL
21 Feb
@ Nairobi United
0–3
L
13 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–4
L
0.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mara Sugar – last 1
W
22 Feb
vs Ulinzi Stars
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidco United and Mara Sugar.
What is the prediction for Bidco United vs Mara Sugar?
Our pick is Mara Sugar or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Bidco United vs Mara Sugar?
On our numbers Bidco United have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Mara Sugar 40%.
How many goals will there be in Bidco United vs Mara Sugar?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidco United vs Mara Sugar?
Our predicted score is Bidco United 0–1 Mara Sugar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Bidco United vs Mara Sugar?
Bidco United vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 26 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kenyatta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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