Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓14% · fair 6.92
Sofapaka vs Nairobi United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 14 March: Sofapaka v Nairobi United in the FKF Premier League, played at Kasarani Annex Stadium.
Current form
Sofapaka, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Mara Sugar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nairobi United, last 4: DDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KCB, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nairobi United, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for Sofapaka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sofapaka 0.9 xG, Nairobi United 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sofapaka 25%, draw 26%, Nairobi United 49%.
Lower-risk option: Nairobi United or draw (75%) at 1.25.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nairobi United or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sofapaka 0–1 Nairobi United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sofapaka25%fair 4.04 · @3.25
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.10
Nairobi United49%fair 2.03 · @2.05
2.28Expected goals
0.87Sofapaka xG
1.41Nairobi United xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Sofapaka 0.9 – 1.4 Nairobi United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sofapaka
Nairobi United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-24%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
+49%
-0%
Our expected goals here
0.90
1.56
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi United to win✓
49%
2.03
2.05
Double chance
Nairobi United or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Nairobi United (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Sofapaka +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Nairobi United to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United✓
29%
3.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
14%
6.92
–
Recent results
Sofapaka – last 4
LLLL
2 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
1–3
L
26 Feb
vs Police
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Homeboyz
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nairobi United – last 4
DDWL
4 Mar
vs KCB
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Bandari
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bidco United
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Maniema Union
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sofapaka and Nairobi United.
What is the prediction for Sofapaka vs Nairobi United?
Our pick is Nairobi United or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sofapaka vs Nairobi United?
On our numbers Sofapaka have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nairobi United 49%.
How many goals will there be in Sofapaka vs Nairobi United?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sofapaka vs Nairobi United?
Our predicted score is Sofapaka 0–1 Nairobi United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sofapaka vs Nairobi United?
Sofapaka vs Nairobi United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kasarani Annex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bidco United1