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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bandari v Mara Sugar: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Mbaraki Sports Club
0–0
FT
Bandari 38%Draw 32%Mara Sugar 30% Expected goals 0.94 – 0.79
71%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultBandari to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceBandari or draw ✓70% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00

Bandari vs Mara Sugar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:00 WAT, Saturday 14 March: Bandari v Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League, played at Mbaraki Sports Club. In the table, Bandari are 9th, upper half, on 7 points after 6 matches; Mara Sugar are 6th (upper half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Bandari, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Police, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Mara Sugar, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sofapaka, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Mara Sugar, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Bandari.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bandari 0.9 xG, Mara Sugar 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bandari 38%, draw 32%, Mara Sugar 30%.
  • Lower-risk option: Bandari or draw (70%) at 1.28.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bandari 0–0 Mara Sugar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bandari38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
Draw32%fair 3.09 · @2.80
Mara Sugar30%fair 3.38 · @3.10
1.73Expected goals
0.94Bandari xG
0.79Mara Sugar xG
39%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%

From our goals model: Bandari 0.9 – 0.8 Mara Sugar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BandariMara Sugar
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-30%+6%
Goals conceded vs average-30%-5%
Our expected goals here0.780.65

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBandari to win ✗38%2.632.30
Double chanceBandari or draw ✓70%1.421.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓61%1.63–
Draw no betBandari (draw no bet)56%1.78–
Asian handicapMara Sugar +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71%1.421.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
First team to scoreBandari to score first ✗45%2.23–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓54%1.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.00–

Recent results

Bandari – last 4

LDWD
1 Mar@ Police0–2L
25 Febvs Nairobi United1–1D
21 Feb@ Murang'a SEAL3–2W
14 Febvs AFC Leopards0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Mara Sugar – last 3

WDW
2 Marvs Sofapaka3–1W
26 Feb@ Bidco United2–2D
22 Febvs Ulinzi Stars2–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bandari and Mara Sugar.

Bandari vs Mara Sugar head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bandari vs Mara Sugar?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Bandari vs Mara Sugar?

On our numbers Bandari have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Mara Sugar 30%.

How many goals will there be in Bandari vs Mara Sugar?

We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bandari vs Mara Sugar?

Our predicted score is Bandari 0–0 Mara Sugar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.

When is Bandari vs Mara Sugar?

Bandari vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Mbaraki Sports Club.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.