Value bet: APS Bomet to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAPS Bomet to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceAPS Bomet or draw ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.47
APS Bomet vs Bidco United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 14 March the FKF Premier League brings APS Bomet against Bidco United at Gusii Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
APS Bomet, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Homeboyz, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Bidco United, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ulinzi Stars, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bidco United, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for APS Bomet.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give APS Bomet 1.2 xG, Bidco United 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – APS Bomet 44%, draw 29%, Bidco United 27%.
Lower-risk option: APS Bomet or draw (73%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: APS Bomet to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was APS Bomet or draw (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: APS Bomet 1–0 Bidco United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
APS Bomet44%fair 2.28 · @2.45
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @3.00
Bidco United27%fair 3.70 · @2.70
1.92Expected goals
1.24APS Bomet xG
0.67Bidco United xG
38%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: APS Bomet 1.2 – 0.7 Bidco United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
APS Bomet
Bidco United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-10%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-41%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.17
0.40
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
APS Bomet to win✗
44%
2.28
2.45 ▲
Double chance
APS Bomet or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
APS Bomet (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Bidco United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
APS Bomet to score first✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT APS Bomet / FT APS Bomet✗
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.47
–
Recent results
APS Bomet – last 4
LLDL
2 Mar
@ Homeboyz
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Police
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GOR Mahia
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bidco United – last 4
WDLL
2 Mar
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Mara Sugar
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Nairobi United
0–3
L
13 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APS Bomet and Bidco United.
What is the prediction for APS Bomet vs Bidco United?
Our pick is APS Bomet or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win APS Bomet vs Bidco United?
On our numbers APS Bomet have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Bidco United 27%.
How many goals will there be in APS Bomet vs Bidco United?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APS Bomet vs Bidco United?
Our predicted score is APS Bomet 1–0 Bidco United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is APS Bomet vs Bidco United?
APS Bomet vs Bidco United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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