Mathare United 20%Draw 32%AFC Leopards 48%Expected goals 0.63 – 1.10
80%
Betarazi pick
AFC Leopards or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAFC Leopards to win48% · @1.95
Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score64% · fair 1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–120% · fair 5.12
Mathare United vs AFC Leopards: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Saturday 14 March: Mathare United v AFC Leopards in the FKF Premier League, played at Moi International Sports Centre. In the table, Mathare United are 16th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 6 matches; AFC Leopards are 3rd (among the top four) with 10.
Current form
AFC Leopards, last 4: WLWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Shabana, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mathare United 0.6 xG, AFC Leopards 1.1 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mathare United 20%, draw 32%, AFC Leopards 48%.
Lower-risk option: AFC Leopards or draw (80%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AFC Leopards or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mathare United 0–1 AFC Leopards. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mathare United20%fair 5.08 · @3.75
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @3.00
AFC Leopards48%fair 2.07 · @1.95
1.73Expected goals
0.63Mathare United xG
1.10AFC Leopards xG
36%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–120%
0–018%
1–112%
1–011%
0–211%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mathare United 0.6 – 1.1 AFC Leopards expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mathare United
AFC Leopards
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-18%
-12%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
-46%
Our expected goals here
0.52
0.84
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win
48%
2.07
1.95
Double chance
AFC Leopards or draw
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
64%
1.56
–
Draw no bet
AFC Leopards (draw no bet)
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Mathare United +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
AFC Leopards to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
20%
5.12
–
Recent results
Mathare United – last 2
LD
25 Feb
vs Shabana
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
AFC Leopards – last 4
WLWD
1 Mar
vs Shabana
5–1
W
26 Feb
@ KCB
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Posta Rangers FC
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Bandari
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mathare United and AFC Leopards.
What is the prediction for Mathare United vs AFC Leopards?
Our pick is AFC Leopards or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Mathare United vs AFC Leopards?
On our numbers Mathare United have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 32% and AFC Leopards 48%.
How many goals will there be in Mathare United vs AFC Leopards?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mathare United vs AFC Leopards?
Our predicted score is Mathare United 0–1 AFC Leopards, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Mathare United vs AFC Leopards?
Mathare United vs AFC Leopards (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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