Bidco United 53%Draw 28%Sofapaka 19%Expected goals 1.33 – 0.70
60%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultBidco United to win ✗53% · @1.90
Double chanceBidco United or draw ✓81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Bidco United vs Sofapaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bidco United welcome Sofapaka to Kenyatta Stadium for a FKF Premier League fixture on Saturday 21 March (12:00 WAT).
Current form
Bidco United, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with APS Bomet, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Sofapaka, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nairobi United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Bidco United, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Sofapaka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bidco United 1.3 xG, Sofapaka 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bidco United 53%, draw 28%, Sofapaka 19%.
Lower-risk option: Bidco United or draw (81%) at 1.15.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (60%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bidco United 1–1 Sofapaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bidco United53%fair 1.88 · @1.90
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.90
Sofapaka19%fair 5.25 · @4.00
2.02Expected goals
1.33Bidco United xG
0.70Sofapaka xG
43%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–013%
1–112%
2–012%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bidco United 1.3 – 0.7 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bidco United
Sofapaka
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-24%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
+10%
+49%
Our expected goals here
1.34
0.75
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bidco United to win✗
53%
1.88
1.90
Double chance
Bidco United or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Bidco United (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Sofapaka +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Bidco United to score first✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bidco United / FT Bidco United✗
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Recent results
Bidco United – last 5
DWDLL
14 Mar
@ APS Bomet
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Mara Sugar
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Nairobi United
0–3
L
13 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sofapaka – last 5
LLLLL
14 Mar
vs Nairobi United
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
1–3
L
26 Feb
vs Police
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Homeboyz
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–3
L
0.6Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bidco United and Sofapaka.
What is the prediction for Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
On our numbers Bidco United have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sofapaka 19%.
How many goals will there be in Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
Our predicted score is Bidco United 1–1 Sofapaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bidco United vs Sofapaka?
Bidco United vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Kenyatta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mara Sugar0
APS Bomet0
Police2
KCB1
GOR Mahia0
Shabana0