Both teams scoreNot both teams to score61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.77
Police vs KCB: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Police welcome KCB to Police Sacco Stadium for a FKF Premier League fixture on Saturday 21 March (13:00 WAT).
Current form
Police, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Posta Rangers FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
KCB, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Murang'a SEAL, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Police 1.0 xG, KCB 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Police 44%, draw 30%, KCB 26%.
Lower-risk option: Police or draw (74%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Police or draw (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Police 1–0 KCB. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Police44%fair 2.29 · @2.00
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @3.00
KCB26%fair 3.80 · @3.60
1.79Expected goals
1.04Police xG
0.75KCB xG
39%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–017%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Police 1.0 – 0.8 KCB expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Police
KCB
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-13%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
-10%
Our expected goals here
0.92
0.70
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Police to win
44%
2.29
2.00
Double chance
Police or draw
74%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Police (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
KCB +1 (Asian handicap)
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Police to score first
48%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.77
–
Recent results
Police – last 5
LWWDD
13 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Bandari
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Sofapaka
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs APS Bomet
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
KCB – last 5
DDWLD
15 Mar
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Nairobi United
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs AFC Leopards
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ GOR Mahia
0–3
L
15 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Police and KCB.
Our pick is Police or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Police vs KCB?
On our numbers Police have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 30% and KCB 26%.
How many goals will there be in Police vs KCB?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Police vs KCB?
Our predicted score is Police 1–0 KCB, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Police vs KCB?
Police vs KCB (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Police Sacco Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bidco United0
Sofapaka0