Mara Sugar 46%Draw 32%APS Bomet 23%Expected goals 1.09 – 0.84
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultMara Sugar to win ✗46% · @1.90
Double chanceMara Sugar or draw ✓77% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.32
Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 March the FKF Premier League brings Mara Sugar against APS Bomet at Green Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Mara Sugar are 6th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; APS Bomet are 13th (lower half) with 6. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Mara Sugar, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bandari, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
APS Bomet, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bidco United, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mara Sugar, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.4 for APS Bomet.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mara Sugar 1.1 xG, APS Bomet 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mara Sugar 46%, draw 32%, APS Bomet 23%.
Lower-risk option: Mara Sugar or draw (77%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mara Sugar 1–0 APS Bomet. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mara Sugar46%fair 2.19 · @1.90
Draw32%fair 3.17 · @3.00
APS Bomet23%fair 4.38 · @3.80
1.93Expected goals
1.09Mara Sugar xG
0.84APS Bomet xG
43%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mara Sugar 1.1 – 0.8 APS Bomet expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mara Sugar
APS Bomet
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+6%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-41%
Our expected goals here
0.73
0.75
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mara Sugar to win✗
46%
2.19
1.90
Double chance
Mara Sugar or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
–
Draw no bet
Mara Sugar (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
APS Bomet +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Mara Sugar to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mara Sugar / FT Mara Sugar✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.32
–
Recent results
Mara Sugar – last 4
DWDW
14 Mar
@ Bandari
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs Sofapaka
3–1
W
26 Feb
@ Bidco United
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ulinzi Stars
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
APS Bomet – last 5
DLLDL
14 Mar
vs Bidco United
1–1
D
2 Mar
@ Homeboyz
1–2
L
26 Feb
vs Kariobangi Sharks
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Police
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs GOR Mahia
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mara Sugar and APS Bomet.
What is the prediction for Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet?
On our numbers Mara Sugar have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 32% and APS Bomet 23%.
How many goals will there be in Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet?
Our predicted score is Mara Sugar 1–0 APS Bomet, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet?
Mara Sugar vs APS Bomet (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Green Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Bidco United0
Sofapaka0
Police2