Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.57
Homeboyz vs Bandari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bandari travel to face Homeboyz on Sunday 22 March in the FKF Premier League, with Bukhungu Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Homeboyz are 17th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 5 matches; Bandari are 9th (upper half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Homeboyz, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tusker, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Bandari, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mara Sugar, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Homeboyz, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Bandari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Homeboyz 1.1 xG, Bandari 0.7 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Homeboyz 48%, draw 30%, Bandari 22%.
Lower-risk option: Homeboyz or draw (78%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Homeboyz 1–0 Bandari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Homeboyz48%fair 2.09 · @1.80
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @3.00
Bandari22%fair 4.61 · @4.33
1.81Expected goals
1.10Homeboyz xG
0.71Bandari xG
41%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Homeboyz 1.1 – 0.7 Bandari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Homeboyz
Bandari
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+2%
-30%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-30%
Our expected goals here
0.84
0.64
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Homeboyz to win✗
48%
2.09
1.80
Double chance
Homeboyz or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Homeboyz (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Bandari +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Homeboyz to score first
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Homeboyz / FT Homeboyz✗
25%
3.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.57
–
Recent results
Homeboyz – last 5
LWDWW
15 Mar
@ Tusker
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs APS Bomet
2–1
W
26 Feb
@ Ulinzi Stars
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Sofapaka
2–0
W
13 Feb
@ Bidco United
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Bandari – last 5
DLDWD
14 Mar
vs Mara Sugar
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Police
0–2
L
25 Feb
vs Nairobi United
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Murang'a SEAL
3–2
W
14 Feb
vs AFC Leopards
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Homeboyz and Bandari.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Homeboyz vs Bandari?
On our numbers Homeboyz have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Bandari 22%.
How many goals will there be in Homeboyz vs Bandari?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Homeboyz vs Bandari?
Our predicted score is Homeboyz 1–0 Bandari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Homeboyz vs Bandari?
Homeboyz vs Bandari (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Bukhungu Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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