Nairobi United 51%Draw 28%Ulinzi Stars 21%Expected goals 1.37 – 0.77
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultNairobi United to win ✗51% · @1.85
Double chanceNairobi United or draw ✗79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.21
Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ulinzi Stars travel to face Nairobi United on Sunday 22 March in the FKF Premier League, with Nyayo National Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Nairobi United are 15th, lower half, on 5 points after 6 matches; Ulinzi Stars are 14th (lower half) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Nairobi United, last 5: LWDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AFC Leopards, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ulinzi Stars, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to GOR Mahia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nairobi United, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.4 for Ulinzi Stars.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nairobi United 1.4 xG, Ulinzi Stars 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nairobi United 51%, draw 28%, Ulinzi Stars 21%.
Lower-risk option: Nairobi United or draw (79%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nairobi United 1–0 Ulinzi Stars. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nairobi United51%fair 1.95 · @1.85
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.00
Ulinzi Stars21%fair 4.80 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.37Nairobi United xG
0.77Ulinzi Stars xG
43%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
0–012%
2–011%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nairobi United 1.4 – 0.8 Ulinzi Stars expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Nairobi United
Ulinzi Stars
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+18%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
-0%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.36
0.79
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nairobi United to win✗
51%
1.95
1.85
Double chance
Nairobi United or draw✗
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Nairobi United (draw no bet)✗
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Ulinzi Stars +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Nairobi United to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nairobi United / FT Nairobi United✗
30%
3.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.21
–
Recent results
Nairobi United – last 6
LWDDWL
18 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
14 Mar
@ Sofapaka
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs KCB
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Bandari
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Bidco United
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Maniema Union
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ulinzi Stars – last 5
LLDLD
15 Mar
vs GOR Mahia
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Police
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nairobi United and Ulinzi Stars.
What is the prediction for Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
On our numbers Nairobi United have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Ulinzi Stars 21%.
How many goals will there be in Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Our predicted score is Nairobi United 1–0 Ulinzi Stars, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars?
Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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