Murang'a SEAL 50%Draw 25%Mathare United 25%Expected goals 1.56 – 0.93
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultMurang'a SEAL to win ✗50% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mathare United travel to face Murang'a SEAL on Sunday 22 March in the FKF Premier League, with SportPesa Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Murang'a SEAL are 8th, upper half, on 8 points after 6 matches; Mathare United are 16th (in the drop zone) with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Murang'a SEAL, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KCB, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Murang'a SEAL 1.6 xG, Mathare United 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Murang'a SEAL 50%, draw 25%, Mathare United 25%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murang'a SEAL 1–0 Mathare United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Murang'a SEAL50%fair 2.01 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.00
Mathare United25%fair 3.95 · @3.25
2.49Expected goals
1.56Murang'a SEAL xG
0.93Mathare United xG
46%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Murang'a SEAL 1.6 – 0.9 Mathare United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Murang'a SEAL
Mathare United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+58%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
+42%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.99
1.03
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murang'a SEAL to win✗
50%
2.01
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Murang'a SEAL (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Mathare United +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Murang'a SEAL to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murang'a SEAL / FT Murang'a SEAL✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Recent results
Murang'a SEAL – last 5
DWLLW
15 Mar
@ KCB
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
25 Feb
@ Tusker
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Bandari
2–3
L
15 Feb
@ Sofapaka
3–2
W
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Mathare United – last 2
LD
25 Feb
vs Shabana
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murang'a SEAL and Mathare United.
What is the prediction for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
On our numbers Murang'a SEAL have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mathare United 25%.
How many goals will there be in Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Our predicted score is Murang'a SEAL 1–0 Mathare United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United?
Murang'a SEAL vs Mathare United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at SportPesa Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kariobangi Sharks1