Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultUlinzi Stars to win ✓55% · @1.90
Double chanceUlinzi Stars or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.76
Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ulinzi Stars welcome Sofapaka to Ulinzi Sports Complex for a FKF Premier League fixture on Sunday 29 March (13:00 WAT).
Current form
Ulinzi Stars, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nairobi United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sofapaka, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bidco United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Ulinzi Stars, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.2 for Sofapaka.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ulinzi Stars 1.5 xG, Sofapaka 0.7 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ulinzi Stars 55%, draw 27%, Sofapaka 17%.
Lower-risk option: Ulinzi Stars or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ulinzi Stars 1–0 Sofapaka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ulinzi Stars55%fair 1.81 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.00
Sofapaka17%fair 5.76 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.47Ulinzi Stars xG
0.67Sofapaka xG
41%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–013%
0–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Ulinzi Stars 1.5 – 0.7 Sofapaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Ulinzi Stars
Sofapaka
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-11%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
+49%
Our expected goals here
1.56
0.66
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ulinzi Stars to win✓
55%
1.81
1.90
Double chance
Ulinzi Stars or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Ulinzi Stars (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
Sofapaka +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Ulinzi Stars to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ulinzi Stars / FT Ulinzi Stars✓
34%
2.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.76
–
Recent results
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
WLLDLD
22 Mar
@ Nairobi United
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs GOR Mahia
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–1
L
26 Feb
vs Homeboyz
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Mara Sugar
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Police
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sofapaka – last 6
DLLLLL
21 Mar
@ Bidco United
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Nairobi United
0–1
L
2 Mar
@ Mara Sugar
1–3
L
26 Feb
vs Police
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Homeboyz
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Murang'a SEAL
2–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulinzi Stars and Sofapaka.
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sofapaka 17%.
How many goals will there be in Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Our predicted score is Ulinzi Stars 1–0 Sofapaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka?
Ulinzi Stars vs Sofapaka (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulinzi Sports Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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