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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Leopards v Kariobangi Sharks: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Nyayo National Stadium
1–0
FT
AFC Leopards 53%Draw 29%Kariobangi Sharks 18% Expected goals 1.24 – 0.61
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultAFC Leopards to win ✓53% · @1.75
Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.13

AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:15 WAT, Sunday 29 March: AFC Leopards v Kariobangi Sharks in the FKF Premier League, played at Nyayo National Stadium.

Current form

AFC Leopards, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tusker, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kariobangi Sharks, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Posta Rangers FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AFC Leopards, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Kariobangi Sharks.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Leopards 1.2 xG, Kariobangi Sharks 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Leopards 53%, draw 29%, Kariobangi Sharks 18%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Leopards 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Leopards53%fair 1.90 · @1.75
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @3.10
Kariobangi Sharks18%fair 5.56 · @4.50
1.85Expected goals
1.24AFC Leopards xG
0.61Kariobangi Sharks xG
39%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%
0–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–110%
2–17%

From our goals model: AFC Leopards 1.2 – 0.6 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AFC LeopardsKariobangi Sharks
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-12%+13%
Goals conceded vs average-46%+1%
Our expected goals here1.040.54

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAFC Leopards to win ✓53%1.901.75
Double chanceAFC Leopards or draw ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓61%1.63–
Draw no betAFC Leopards (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapKariobangi Sharks +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗55%1.81–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreAFC Leopards to score first ✓56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards ✗30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19%5.13–

Recent results

AFC Leopards – last 6

WWWLWD
22 Marvs Tusker1–0W
18 Marvs Nairobi United1–0W
1 Marvs Shabana5–1W
26 Feb@ KCB0–1L
21 Febvs Posta Rangers FC2–1W
14 Feb@ Bandari0–0D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kariobangi Sharks – last 6

LWLWDD
22 Marvs Posta Rangers FC1–2L
15 Mar@ Shabana2–1W
2 Marvs Tusker1–2L
26 Feb@ APS Bomet1–0W
21 Febvs Mathare United1–1D
15 Feb@ KCB1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Leopards and Kariobangi Sharks.

AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?

On our numbers AFC Leopards have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Kariobangi Sharks 18%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?

Our predicted score is AFC Leopards 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?

AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.