Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.13
AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:15 WAT, Sunday 29 March: AFC Leopards v Kariobangi Sharks in the FKF Premier League, played at Nyayo National Stadium.
Current form
AFC Leopards, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tusker, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Kariobangi Sharks, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Posta Rangers FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AFC Leopards, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Kariobangi Sharks.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFC Leopards 1.2 xG, Kariobangi Sharks 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Leopards 53%, draw 29%, Kariobangi Sharks 18%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Leopards 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFC Leopards53%fair 1.90 · @1.75
Draw29%fair 3.41 · @3.10
Kariobangi Sharks18%fair 5.56 · @4.50
1.85Expected goals
1.24AFC Leopards xG
0.61Kariobangi Sharks xG
39%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
0–016%
2–012%
1–112%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: AFC Leopards 1.2 – 0.6 Kariobangi Sharks expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
AFC Leopards
Kariobangi Sharks
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-12%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
-46%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.04
0.54
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Leopards to win✓
53%
1.90
1.75
Double chance
AFC Leopards or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
–
Draw no bet
AFC Leopards (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Kariobangi Sharks +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
AFC Leopards to score first✓
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Leopards / FT AFC Leopards✗
30%
3.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.13
–
Recent results
AFC Leopards – last 6
WWWLWD
22 Mar
vs Tusker
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Nairobi United
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Shabana
5–1
W
26 Feb
@ KCB
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Posta Rangers FC
2–1
W
14 Feb
@ Bandari
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
LWLWDD
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Shabana
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Tusker
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ APS Bomet
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Mathare United
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ KCB
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Leopards and Kariobangi Sharks.
What is the prediction for AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?
On our numbers AFC Leopards have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Kariobangi Sharks 18%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?
Our predicted score is AFC Leopards 1–0 Kariobangi Sharks, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks?
AFC Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Nyayo National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.