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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shabana v Murang'a SEAL: numbers & prediction

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Gusii Stadium
1–0
FT
Shabana 43%Draw 27%Murang'a SEAL 29% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.14
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultShabana to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.10

Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shabana welcome Murang'a SEAL to Gusii Stadium for a FKF Premier League fixture on Sunday 29 March (12:00 WAT). In the table, Shabana are 5th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; Murang'a SEAL are 8th (upper half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Shabana, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kariobangi Sharks, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Murang'a SEAL, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mathare United, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shabana 1.4 xG, Murang'a SEAL 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shabana 43%, draw 27%, Murang'a SEAL 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shabana 1–1 Murang'a SEAL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shabana43%fair 2.31 · @2.05
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.90
Murang'a SEAL29%fair 3.40 · @3.50
2.54Expected goals
1.40Shabana xG
1.14Murang'a SEAL xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Shabana 1.4 – 1.1 Murang'a SEAL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ShabanaMurang'a SEAL
Attack vs FKF Premier League average-14%+58%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+42%
Our expected goals here1.441.24

Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShabana to win ✓43%2.312.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betShabana (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapMurang'a SEAL +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreShabana to score first ✓51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shabana / FT Shabana ✓25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11%9.10–

Recent results

Shabana – last 4

LLWW
15 Marvs Kariobangi Sharks1–2L
1 Mar@ AFC Leopards1–5L
25 Feb@ Mathare United1–0W
21 Febvs Tusker1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Murang'a SEAL – last 6

DDWLLW
22 Marvs Mathare United1–1D
15 Mar@ KCB1–1D
1 Marvs Posta Rangers FC1–0W
25 Feb@ Tusker0–1L
21 Febvs Bandari2–3L
15 Feb@ Sofapaka3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Murang'a SEAL.

Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL head-to-head page →

FKF Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1GOR Mahia6411+413
2KCB6411+413
3AFC Leopards6240+310
4Kenya Police6231+19
5Shabana6231+19
6Mara Sugar623109
73K6231-19
8Murang'a SEAL6222+28
9Bandari614107
10Posta Rangers FC6213-47
11Tusker4202+26
12Migori Youth5131+16
13APS Bomet6132+16
14Ulinzi Stars6132-26
15Nairobi United6051-15
16Mathare United6123-25
17Homeboyz5122-25
18Mombasa Elite6015-71

More FKF Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?

On our numbers Shabana have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Murang'a SEAL 29%.

How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?

Our predicted score is Shabana 1–1 Murang'a SEAL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL?

Shabana vs Murang'a SEAL (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.