Mathare United 43%Draw 31%Bidco United 26%Expected goals 1.09 – 0.77
74%
Betarazi pick
Mathare United or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMathare United to win43% · @2.10
Double chanceMathare United or draw74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.87
Mathare United vs Bidco United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mathare United welcome Bidco United to Moi International Sports Centre for a FKF Premier League fixture on Saturday 18 April (12:00 WAT).
Current form
Mathare United, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Police, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Bidco United, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to KCB, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mathare United 1.1 xG, Bidco United 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mathare United 43%, draw 31%, Bidco United 26%.
Lower-risk option: Mathare United or draw (74%) at 1.22.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mathare United or draw (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mathare United 1–0 Bidco United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mathare United43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.75
Bidco United26%fair 3.81 · @3.70
1.86Expected goals
1.09Mathare United xG
0.77Bidco United xG
41%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mathare United 1.1 – 0.8 Bidco United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Mathare United
Bidco United
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-18%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.06
0.72
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mathare United to win
43%
2.33
2.10
Double chance
Mathare United or draw
74%
1.36
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Mathare United (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Bidco United +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Mathare United to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mathare United / FT Mathare United
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
5.87
–
Recent results
Mathare United – last 5
DLDLD
14 Apr
vs Police
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Homeboyz
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ Murang'a SEAL
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Shabana
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Kariobangi Sharks
1–1
D
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Bidco United – last 6
LLDDWD
5 Apr
vs KCB
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Bandari
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Sofapaka
0–0
D
14 Mar
@ APS Bomet
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Ulinzi Stars
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Mara Sugar
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mathare United and Bidco United.
What is the prediction for Mathare United vs Bidco United?
Our pick is Mathare United or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mathare United vs Bidco United?
On our numbers Mathare United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Bidco United 26%.
How many goals will there be in Mathare United vs Bidco United?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mathare United vs Bidco United?
Our predicted score is Mathare United 1–0 Bidco United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mathare United vs Bidco United?
Mathare United vs Bidco United (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Moi International Sports Centre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kariobangi Sharks0
Police2