Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultKariobangi Sharks to win ✗36% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.03
Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Saturday 18 April: Kariobangi Sharks v Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League, played at Kasarani Annex Stadium.
Current form
Kariobangi Sharks, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with GOR Mahia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Mara Sugar, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Posta Rangers FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kariobangi Sharks 1.1 xG, Mara Sugar 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kariobangi Sharks 36%, draw 29%, Mara Sugar 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (59%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kariobangi Sharks 1–1 Mara Sugar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kariobangi Sharks36%fair 2.75 · @2.80
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.75
Mara Sugar35%fair 2.89 · @2.50
2.03Expected goals
1.08Kariobangi Sharks xG
0.95Mara Sugar xG
41%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Kariobangi Sharks 1.1 – 0.9 Mara Sugar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Kariobangi Sharks
Mara Sugar
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
+13%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.26
0.94
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kariobangi Sharks to win✗
36%
2.75
2.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
–
Draw no bet
Kariobangi Sharks (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Mara Sugar +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Kariobangi Sharks to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kariobangi Sharks / FT Kariobangi Sharks✗
22%
4.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.03
–
Recent results
Kariobangi Sharks – last 6
DLLWLW
4 Apr
@ GOR Mahia
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–2
L
15 Mar
@ Shabana
2–1
W
2 Mar
vs Tusker
1–2
L
26 Feb
@ APS Bomet
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mara Sugar – last 6
WDLDDW
6 Apr
vs Posta Rangers FC
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Nairobi United
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ KCB
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs APS Bomet
0–0
D
14 Mar
@ Bandari
0–0
D
2 Mar
vs Sofapaka
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kariobangi Sharks and Mara Sugar.
What is the prediction for Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
On our numbers Kariobangi Sharks have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Mara Sugar 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
Our predicted score is Kariobangi Sharks 1–1 Mara Sugar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar?
Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Kasarani Annex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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