Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.32
Shabana vs Homeboyz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Shabana welcome Homeboyz to Gusii Stadium for a FKF Premier League fixture on Saturday 18 April (12:00 WAT). In the table, Shabana are 5th, upper half, on 9 points after 6 matches; Homeboyz are 17th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Current form
Shabana, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Nairobi United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Homeboyz, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nairobi United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shabana 1.1 xG, Homeboyz 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shabana 35%, draw 30%, Homeboyz 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shabana 1–1 Homeboyz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shabana35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
Draw30%fair 3.36 · @2.88
Homeboyz35%fair 2.84 · @2.45
2.13Expected goals
1.12Shabana xG
1.01Homeboyz xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Shabana 1.1 – 1.0 Homeboyz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Shabana
Homeboyz
Attack vs FKF Premier League average
-14%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
+4%
Our expected goals here
1.05
0.80
Our own ratings from every FKF Premier League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Homeboyz to win
35%
2.84
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.42
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Homeboyz (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Homeboyz +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Shabana to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shabana / FT Shabana
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.32
–
Recent results
Shabana – last 6
LWLLWW
5 Apr
@ Nairobi United
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Murang'a SEAL
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Kariobangi Sharks
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ AFC Leopards
1–5
L
25 Feb
@ Mathare United
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Tusker
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Homeboyz – last 6
DWWDLW
8 Apr
@ Nairobi United
2–2
D
4 Apr
vs Mathare United
3–0
W
28 Mar
@ Posta Rangers FC
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Bandari
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Tusker
0–2
L
2 Mar
vs APS Bomet
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shabana and Homeboyz.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Shabana vs Homeboyz?
On our numbers Shabana have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Homeboyz 35%.
How many goals will there be in Shabana vs Homeboyz?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shabana vs Homeboyz?
Our predicted score is Shabana 1–1 Homeboyz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Shabana vs Homeboyz?
Shabana vs Homeboyz (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Gusii Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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