Value bet: Draw @ 2.84 – our chance 40% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗40% · @2.84
Double chanceIvory Coast or draw ✓72% · @1.57
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.52
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 15 June the World Cup brings Ivory Coast against Ecuador at Lincoln Financial Field. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.
Current form
Ecuador, last 4: WWDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Guatemala, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ivory Coast 1.1 xG, Ecuador 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ivory Coast 32%, draw 40%, Ecuador 28%.
Lower-risk option: Ivory Coast or draw (72%) at 1.57.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Draw @2.84 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ivory Coast or draw (72%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.39, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ivory Coast32%fair 3.16 · @3.55
Draw40%fair 2.50 · @2.84
Ecuador28%fair 3.53 · @2.36
2.02Expected goals
1.15Ivory Coast xG
0.88Ecuador xG
51%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ivory Coast 1.1 – 0.9 Ecuador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
40%
2.50
2.84 ▲
Double chance
Ivory Coast or draw✓
72%
1.39
1.57 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Ivory Coast (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Ecuador +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.03
First team to score
Ivory Coast to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ivory Coast / FT Ivory Coast✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.52
–
Recent results
Ivory Coast – last 2
WW
4 Jun
@ France
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Scotland
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ecuador – last 4
WWDD
7 Jun
vs Guatemala
3–0
W
31 May
vs Saudi Arabia
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ivory Coast and Ecuador.
What is the prediction for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Our pick is Ivory Coast or draw with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
On our numbers Ivory Coast have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 40% and Ecuador 28%.
How many goals will there be in Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Our predicted score is Ivory Coast 1–0 Ecuador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Lincoln Financial Field.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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