Sweden 57%Draw 24%Tunisia 20%Expected goals 1.90 – 1.01
80%
Betarazi pick
Sweden or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSweden to win ✓57% · @1.90
Double chanceSweden or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Sweden vs Tunisia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tunisia travel to face Sweden on Monday 15 June in the World Cup, with Estadio BBVA the venue – the ball rolls at 03:00 WAT.
Current form
Sweden, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Greece, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Tunisia, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Belgium, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sweden, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Tunisia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sweden 1.9 xG, Tunisia 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 49% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sweden 57%, draw 24%, Tunisia 20%.
Lower-risk option: Sweden or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sweden or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sweden 1–1 Tunisia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sweden57%fair 1.76 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Tunisia20%fair 5.11 · @4.20
2.91Expected goals
1.90Sweden xG
1.01Tunisia xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sweden 1.9 – 1.0 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sweden to win✓
57%
1.76
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Sweden or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Sweden (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Tunisia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.07
First team to score
Sweden to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Sweden ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sweden / FT Sweden✓
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Sweden – last 4
DLWW
4 Jun
vs Greece
2–2
D
1 Jun
@ Norway
1–3
L
31 Mar
vs Poland
3–2
W
26 Mar
@ Ukraine
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Tunisia – last 4
LLDW
6 Jun
@ Belgium
0–5
L
1 Jun
@ Austria
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Canada
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Haiti
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sweden and Tunisia.
Our pick is Sweden or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sweden vs Tunisia?
On our numbers Sweden have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tunisia 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sweden vs Tunisia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sweden vs Tunisia?
Our predicted score is Sweden 1–1 Tunisia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sweden vs Tunisia?
Sweden vs Tunisia (World Cup) kicks off on Monday 15 June 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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